AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 5

Grand Rapids Griffins at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Grand Rapids Griffins
7:5
Final
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

GRRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
59%41%
xG
3.13.2
High danger
74
Chances
1313
Shots
3235

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal35
13Scoring chances13
7High-danger chances4
3.13Expected goals3.19

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–152–40–10.4–1.0
2nd13–95–34–11.2–1.1
3rd12–116–63–21.5–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

RFD−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
RFD310:38 of the 3rd9:229:22+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jack Campbell
Shots faced
35
Saves
30
Allowed
5
xGA
3.19
GSAx
-1.81
Drew Commesso
Shots faced
32
Saves
25
Allowed
7
xGA
3.13
GSAx
-3.87

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:30Penalty
  • 1st 9:42Amadeus Lombardi (1–0)medium · 11 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 1st 14:44Penalty
  • 1st 19:56Penalty
  • 2nd 3:14Austin Watson (2–0)high · 23 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 6:43Zach Sanford (2–1)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 2nd 7:40Penalty
  • 2nd 7:40Penalty
  • 2nd 7:40Penalty
  • 2nd 13:15Antti Tuomisto (3–1)low · 62 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 16:52Penalty
  • 2nd 19:24Penalty
  • 3rd 0:52Jalen Luypen (3–2)4v5 · high · 12 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 3rd 1:17Amadeus Lombardi (4–2)5v4 · high · rebound · 41 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 6:13Penalty
  • 3rd 6:44Zach Sanford (4–3)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 3rd 8:01Emmitt Finnie (5–3)low · 27 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 10:38Dominik Shine (6–3)grade A · rebound · 29 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 14:09Gavin Hayes (6–4)low · 47 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 3rd 17:28Zach Sanford (6–5)medium · 21 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 3rd 18:44Austin Watson (7–5)empty net · low · 85 ft · beat Drew Commesso