AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, April 6

Chicago Wolves at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Chicago Wolves
3:2
Final
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

CHIMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
69%31%
xG
3.82.6
High danger
74
Chances
129
Shots
3024

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal24
12Scoring chances9
7High-danger chances4
3.80Expected goals2.65

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–52–20–10.6–0.4
2nd13–127–36–12.1–1.1
3rd10–73–41–21.0–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MB0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MB119:05 of the 3rd0:550:55+0.020 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Domenic DiVincentiis
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
3.80
GSAx
+0.80
Spencer Martin
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
2.65
GSAx
+0.65

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:11Domenick Fensore (1–0)low · 15 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 1st 6:25Penalty
  • 1st 6:25Penalty
  • 1st 6:47Penalty
  • 1st 14:41Penalty
  • 1st 18:19Penalty
  • 2nd 1:46Ryan Suzuki (2–0)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 2nd 12:52Penalty
  • 2nd 12:52Penalty
  • 3rd 0:42Mason Shaw (2–1)medium · 8 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 1:56Liam Malmquist (2–2)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 4:01Penalty
  • 3rd 4:01Penalty
  • 3rd 6:56Penalty
  • 3rd 8:41Penalty
  • 3rd 15:42Penalty
  • 3rd 18:15Penalty
  • 3rd 19:05Nick Swaney (3–2)5v4 · medium · 20 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 3rd 19:59Penalty
  • 3rd 19:59Penalty