AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, April 9

Hartford Wolf Pack at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Hartford Wolf Pack
3:2
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

HFDBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
85%15%
xG
2.41.8
High danger
50
Chances
125
Shots
2328

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal28
12Scoring chances5
5High-danger chances0
2.43Expected goals1.80

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–126–32–01.0–1.0
2nd9–85–03–01.1–0.4
3rd4–81–20–00.3–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Talyn Boyko
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
1.80
GSAx
-0.20
Tristan Lennox
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
2.43
GSAx
-0.57

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:09Penalty
  • 1st 6:32Penalty
  • 1st 8:04Jaroslav Chmelar (1–0)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Tristan Lennox
  • 1st 8:54Joey Larson (1–1)medium · 31 ft · beat Talyn Boyko
  • 1st 14:20Penalty
  • 2nd 6:23Penalty
  • 2nd 10:37Penalty
  • 2nd 15:34Dylan Roobroeck (2–1)high · 26 ft · beat Tristan Lennox
  • 2nd 18:29Penalty
  • 2nd 19:50Dylan Roobroeck (3–1)5v4 · medium · 10 ft · beat Tristan Lennox
  • 3rd 1:38Penalty
  • 3rd 1:54Joey Larson (3–2)5v4 · medium · 38 ft · beat Talyn Boyko