AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, April 9

Milwaukee Admirals at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

Milwaukee Admirals
5:0
Final
Iowa Wild

The sheet

MILIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
34%66%
xG
2.33.9
High danger
56
Chances
1117
Shots
2638

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal38
11Scoring chances17
5High-danger chances6
2.29Expected goals3.92

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–63–12–10.8–0.5
2nd9–114–50–10.8–1.1
3rd5–214–113–40.7–2.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

IA−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
IA32:48 of the 3rd17:1217:12+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Matthew Murray
Shots faced
38
Saves
38
Allowed
0
xGA
3.92
GSAx
+3.92
Jesper Wallstedt
Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
2.29
GSAx
-2.71

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 2nd 7:48Penalty
  • 2nd 8:25Penalty
  • 2nd 8:39Joakim Kemell (1–0)5v4 · medium · 51 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 13:26Penalty
  • 2nd 14:28Ryder Rolston (2–0)5v4 · medium · 50 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 18:41Penalty
  • 3rd 1:22Penalty
  • 3rd 2:48Jesse Ylonen (3–0)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 3rd 6:01Chase De Leo (4–0)medium · 29 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 3rd 6:53Penalty
  • 3rd 6:53Penalty
  • 3rd 8:57Joakim Kemell (5–0)empty net · high · 18 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 3rd 17:45Penalty
  • 3rd 17:45Penalty
  • 3rd 17:45Penalty