AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 12

Toronto Marlies at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Toronto Marlies
4:1
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

TORCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
67%33%
xG
3.22.5
High danger
84
Chances
1010
Shots
3125

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal25
10Scoring chances10
8High-danger chances4
3.23Expected goals2.46

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–54–23–11.2–0.5
2nd12–113–52–20.9–1.2
3rd8–93–33–11.1–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
31
Saves
27
Allowed
4
xGA
3.23
GSAx
-0.77
Dennis Hildeby
Shots faced
25
Saves
24
Allowed
1
xGA
2.46
GSAx
+1.46

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:51Penalty
  • 1st 12:16Penalty
  • 1st 13:23Nick Abruzzese (1–0)5v4 · grade A · snap · rebound · 9 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 7:03Penalty
  • 2nd 7:45William Villeneuve (2–0)5v4 · low · snap · 53 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 16:21Penalty
  • 2nd 19:00Alex Nylander (3–0)high · snap · 16 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 6:20Penalty
  • 3rd 7:40Topi Niemelä (4–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 10:36Penalty
  • 3rd 19:10Hunter McKown (4–1)low · wrist · 49 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 3rd 19:17Penalty
  • 3rd 19:17Penalty
  • 3rd 19:17Penalty
  • 3rd 19:17Penalty
  • 3rd 19:17Penalty
  • 3rd 19:17Penalty
  • 3rd 19:17Penalty