Utica Comets at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Utica Comets

3:1

Final

Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

UTCCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

47%53%

xG: 2.93.6
High danger: 76
Chances: 1310
Shots: 2134

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLT above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal34

13Scoring chances10

7High-danger chances6

2.87Expected goals3.60

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–9	4–4	2–4	0.8–1.3
2nd	9–13	7–3	3–0	1.3–0.9
3rd	5–12	2–3	2–2	0.8–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLT	1	18:01 of the 3rd	1:59	1:59	+0.045 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Isaac Poulter

Shots faced: 34
Saves: 33
Allowed: 1
xGA: 3.60
GSAx: +2.60

Kaapo Kähkönen

Shots faced: 21
Saves: 18
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.87
GSAx: -0.13

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:44Penalty
1st 9:44Tobias Björnfot (0–1)low · 25 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
1st 10:15Penalty
1st 11:42Penalty
1st 16:06Penalty
2nd 0:53Penalty
2nd 20:00Penalty
2nd 20:00Penalty
3rd 1:54Brian Halonen (1–1)low · 30 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
3rd 13:31Penalty
3rd 18:01Brian Halonen (2–1)low · 34 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
3rd 19:00Ryan Schmelzer (3–1)empty net · grade A · 6 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen