AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 12

Hartford Wolf Pack at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Hartford Wolf Pack
5:3
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

HFDBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
2.63.4
High danger
35
Chances
107
Shots
2734

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal34
10Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances5
2.60Expected goals3.35

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–126–32–31.8–1.5
2nd5–142–21–10.5–1.0
3rd8–82–20–10.3–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Hunter Miska
Shots faced
27
Saves
22
Allowed
5
xGA
2.60
GSAx
-2.40
Talyn Boyko
Shots faced
22
Saves
20
Allowed
2
xGA
1.82
GSAx
-0.18
Callum Tung
Shots faced
12
Saves
11
Allowed
1
xGA
1.53
GSAx
+0.53

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:12Dylan Roobroeck (1–0)low · 28 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 1st 2:50Penalty
  • 1st 5:53Noah Laba (2–0)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 1st 8:27Jake Leschyshyn (3–0)medium · 61 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 1st 14:41Penalty
  • 1st 17:14Penalty
  • 1st 17:17Alex Belzile (4–0)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 1st 17:40Tyce Thompson (4–1)grade A · 9 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 1st 18:38Penalty
  • 2nd 3:49Brian Pinho (4–2)low · 18 ft · beat Talyn Boyko
  • 2nd 4:53Alex Jefferies (4–3)low · 23 ft · beat Talyn Boyko
  • 2nd 5:27Penalty
  • 2nd 8:58Penalty
  • 2nd 12:53Penalty
  • 3rd 8:09Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Jackson Dorrington (5–3)empty net · low · 107 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 3rd 19:57Penalty
  • 3rd 19:57Penalty