Texas Stars at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Texas Stars

4:1

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

TEXGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

85%15%

xG: 4.21.7
High danger: 72
Chances: 148
Shots: 3818

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal18

14Scoring chances8

7High-danger chances2

4.16Expected goals1.75

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–9	7–3	4–0	1.7–0.6
2nd	13–5	6–3	3–2	1.8–0.7
3rd	14–4	1–2	0–0	0.7–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
GR	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sebastian Cossa

Shots faced: 38
Saves: 34
Allowed: 4
xGA: 4.16
GSAx: +0.16

Rémi Poirier

Shots faced: 18
Saves: 17
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.75
GSAx: +0.75

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:33Penalty
1st 6:17Kole Lind (1–0)medium · 13 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
1st 7:23Penalty
1st 13:02Penalty
1st 13:02Penalty
2nd 0:16Penalty
2nd 12:22Penalty
2nd 12:22Penalty
2nd 15:29Gabriel Seger (1–1)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
3rd 0:32Penalty
3rd 3:02Penalty
3rd 6:35Kole Lind (2–1)medium · 26 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
3rd 17:56Kole Lind (3–1)empty net · low · 32 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
3rd 19:16Matěj Blümel (4–1)empty net · low · 16 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa