Henderson Silver Knights at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Henderson Silver Knights

3:4

Final / SO

Colorado Eagles

The sheet

HSKCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

71%29%

xG: 2.42.0
High danger: 61
Chances: 77
Shots: 2227

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

COL above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal27

7Scoring chances7

6High-danger chances1

2.41Expected goals2.01

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–7	2–2	1–0	0.8–0.6
2nd	6–9	2–2	2–0	0.7–0.6
3rd	5–7	3–2	3–1	0.9–0.6
OT	2–4	0–1	0–0	0.1–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
COL	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	1:27	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Carl Lindbom

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 24
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.01
GSAx: -0.99

Trent Miner

Shots faced: 13
Saves: 13
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.66
GSAx: +1.66

Kevin Mandolese

Shots faced: 9
Saves: 6
Allowed: 3
xGA: 0.75
GSAx: -2.25

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:07Jakub Demek (1–0)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
1st 4:14Trevor Connelly (2–0)low · 27 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
1st 10:39Penalty
1st 13:32Tye Felhaber (2–1)medium · 11 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
1st 15:43Robert Hägg (3–1)low · 66 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
1st 16:27Penalty
2nd 8:21Penalty
2nd 13:12Penalty
2nd 15:53Penalty
3rd 2:45Penalty
3rd 3:54Penalty
3rd 6:53Penalty
3rd 10:05Penalty
3rd 13:36John Ludvig (3–2)low · 36 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
3rd 15:40Penalty
3rd 16:10Gabriel Landeskog (3–3)5v4 · high · 7 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
OT 5:00Penalty