AHLDashboard
Sunday, April 13

Utica Comets at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Utica Comets
3:6
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

UTCCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
26%74%
xG
2.94.2
High danger
47
Chances
1219
Shots
2033

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal33
12Scoring chances19
4High-danger chances7
2.91Expected goals4.21

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st71343111.21.1
2nd91068231.21.5
3rd41028130.51.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

UTC−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
UTC38:18 of the 3rd11:4211:42+0.017 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
33
Saves
27
Allowed
6
xGA
4.21
GSAx
-1.79
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
2.91
GSAx
-0.09

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:11Penalty
  • 1st 1:35Brian Halonen (1–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 1st 3:10Dylan Wendt (2–0)low · 37 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 1st 12:17Penalty
  • 1st 12:33Will Lockwood (2–1)4v5 · medium · 14 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 1st 15:08Eamon Powell (2–2)low · 53 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 3:46Brett Chorske (2–3)low · 21 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 10:34Penalty
  • 2nd 11:36Oliver Okuliar (2–4)5v4 · medium · 8 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 13:17Penalty
  • 2nd 14:39Kyle Criscuolo (2–5)5v4 · high · 15 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 19:17Xavier Parent (3–5)grade A · 25 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 19:33Penalty
  • 3rd 1:56Penalty
  • 3rd 4:17Penalty
  • 3rd 8:18Riley Bezeau (3–6)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 3rd 10:09Penalty
  • 3rd 15:53Penalty
  • 3rd 15:53Penalty