AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, April 13

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
5:2
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

WBSBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
30%70%
xG
1.73.2
High danger
36
Chances
710
Shots
2332

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal32
7Scoring chances10
3High-danger chances6
1.75Expected goals3.20

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–114–33–20.8–0.9
2nd7–102–40–30.5–1.2
3rd8–111–30–10.5–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI213:44 of the 3rd6:166:16+0.026 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
32
Saves
30
Allowed
2
xGA
3.20
GSAx
+1.20
T.J. Semptimphelter
Shots faced
23
Saves
18
Allowed
5
xGA
1.75
GSAx
-3.25

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:36Gabe Klassen (1–0)high · 24 ft · beat T.J. Semptimphelter
  • 1st 12:24Nolan Renwick (2–0)medium · 12 ft · beat T.J. Semptimphelter
  • 1st 16:16Zach Gallant (3–0)high · 18 ft · beat T.J. Semptimphelter
  • 1st 17:19Penalty
  • 2nd 2:53Penalty
  • 2nd 4:25Cam Berg (3–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 13:31Penalty
  • 2nd 19:34Ross Mitton (3–2)high · 14 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 5:10Penalty
  • 3rd 13:44Atley Calvert (4–2)medium · 12 ft · beat T.J. Semptimphelter
  • 3rd 15:34Penalty
  • 3rd 19:10Avery Hayes (5–2)empty net · low · 44 ft · beat T.J. Semptimphelter