AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 18

San Jose Barracuda at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

San Jose Barracuda
8:3
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

SJCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
3.42.9
High danger
73
Chances
1012
Shots
3029

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal29
10Scoring chances12
7High-danger chances3
3.42Expected goals2.92

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–61–21–10.7–0.5
2nd9–164–83–11.3–1.7
3rd12–75–23–11.5–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
2.92
GSAx
-0.08
Waltteri Ignatjew
Shots faced
18
Saves
14
Allowed
4
xGA
2.17
GSAx
-1.83
Devin Cooley
Shots faced
12
Saves
8
Allowed
4
xGA
1.26
GSAx
-2.74

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:23Luca Cagnoni (1–0)low · slap · 44 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 1st 6:57Penalty
  • 1st 9:44Martin Frk (1–1)low · backhand · 10 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 1st 18:22Penalty
  • 1st 19:44Danil Gushchin (2–1)5v4 · high · backhand · 17 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 0:37Filip Bystedt (3–1)grade A · tip · rebound · 6 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 1:26Patrick Giles (4–1)low · wrist · 43 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 4:56Penalty
  • 2nd 8:36Braden Hache (5–1)low · slap · 67 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • 2nd 10:51Penalty
  • 2nd 13:03Scott Sabourin (6–1)high · backhand · 19 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • 2nd 14:56Carter Wilkie (6–2)grade A · tip · rebound · 6 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 3rd 0:22Penalty
  • 3rd 0:31Luca Cagnoni (7–2)5v4 · low · wrist · 63 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • 3rd 0:38Penalty
  • 3rd 3:12William Strömgren (7–3)low · 13 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 3rd 7:43Penalty
  • 3rd 9:09Penalty
  • 3rd 17:12Penalty
  • 3rd 17:12Penalty
  • 3rd 19:46Anthony Vincent (8–3)high · wrist · 8 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew