AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 18

Syracuse Crunch at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Syracuse Crunch
3:2
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

SYRUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
71%29%
xG
2.41.4
High danger
22
Chances
124
Shots
2628

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal28
12Scoring chances4
2High-danger chances2
2.39Expected goals1.42

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–112–01–00.5–0.1
2nd9–83–31–20.8–0.8
3rd10–97–10–01.1–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

UTC−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
UTC116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ryan Fanti
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
1.42
GSAx
-0.58
Isaac Poulter
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
2.39
GSAx
-0.61

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:25Penalty
  • 2nd 0:38Ryan Schmelzer (0–1)high · rebound · 10 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
  • 2nd 6:24Conor Sheary (1–1)low · 41 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 2nd 7:27Penalty
  • 2nd 7:45Dylan Duke (2–1)5v4 · medium · 38 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 2nd 10:51Ryan Schmelzer (2–2)low · 40 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
  • 2nd 14:25Penalty
  • 2nd 19:54Penalty
  • 3rd 0:53Dylan Duke (3–2)5v4 · medium · 12 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 3rd 8:40Penalty
  • 3rd 11:07Penalty