Belleville Senators at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Belleville Senators

1:5

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

BELLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

21%79%

xG: 2.23.2
High danger: 28
Chances: 1014
Shots: 2432

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal32

10Scoring chances14

2High-danger chances8

2.18Expected goals3.22

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	10–11	5–5	2–3	1.0–1.3
2nd	8–12	2–5	0–2	0.6–1.1
3rd	6–9	3–4	0–3	0.6–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
BEL	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Leevi Meriläinen

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 27
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.22
GSAx: -1.78

Cayden Primeau

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 23
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.18
GSAx: +1.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:46Florian Xhekaj (0–1)grade A · backhand · rebound · 9 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
1st 4:12Xavier Simoneau (0–2)medium · tip · 18 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
2nd 3:17Penalty
2nd 10:12Lucas Condotta (0–3)medium · wrist · 26 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
2nd 13:28Penalty
3rd 1:31Sean Farrell (0–4)high · wrist · 11 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
3rd 5:03Penalty
3rd 8:49Oskar Pettersson (1–4)low · wrist · 38 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
3rd 9:24Penalty
3rd 9:24Penalty
3rd 11:58Penalty
3rd 13:32Alex Barré-Boulet (1–5)empty net · low · wrist · 147 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
3rd 14:20Penalty
3rd 14:20Penalty
3rd 14:20Penalty
3rd 15:38Penalty