AHLDashboard
Friday, April 18

Cleveland Monsters at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Cleveland Monsters
3:7
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

CLELVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
33%67%
xG
2.22.7
High danger
13
Chances
66
Shots
3133

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal33
6Scoring chances6
1High-danger chances3
2.24Expected goals2.67

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st131123121.01.0
2nd91222000.60.8
3rd91021010.70.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
33
Saves
26
Allowed
7
xGA
2.67
GSAx
-4.33
Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
2.24
GSAx
-0.76

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:26Luca Del Bel Belluz (1–0)low · 16 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 6:50Olle Lycksell (1–1)low · 34 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 1st 7:03Penalty
  • 1st 8:04Garrett Wilson (1–2)4v5 · grade A · rebound · 28 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 1st 10:08Penalty
  • 1st 10:08Penalty
  • 2nd 5:18Dylan Gambrell (2–2)low · 45 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 6:13Guillaume Richard (3–2)low · 60 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 7:26Penalty
  • 2nd 8:20Penalty
  • 2nd 16:50Penalty
  • 3rd 4:21Ty Murchison (3–3)low · 57 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 5:27Rodrigo Abols (3–4)low · 36 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 6:23Olle Lycksell (3–5)low · 32 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 7:20Penalty
  • 3rd 12:08Penalty
  • 3rd 12:15Rodrigo Abols (3–6)5v4 · high · 39 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 13:41Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Garrett Wilson (3–7)empty net · low · 29 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko