AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 18

Chicago Wolves at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Chicago Wolves
0:5
Final
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

CHIMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
9%91%
xG
1.34.0
High danger
19
Chances
514
Shots
1629

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

16Shots on goal29
5Scoring chances14
1High-danger chances9
1.26Expected goals3.98

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–111–31–20.3–1.0
2nd10–124–60–30.8–1.5
3rd2–60–50–40.2–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI39:57 of the 3rd10:0310:03+0.014 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Spencer Martin
Shots faced
29
Saves
24
Allowed
5
xGA
3.98
GSAx
-1.02
Matthew Murray
Shots faced
16
Saves
16
Allowed
0
xGA
1.26
GSAx
+1.26

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:21Penalty
  • 1st 3:28Penalty
  • 2nd 4:53Kieffer Bellows (0–1)low · 39 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 6:15Penalty
  • 2nd 8:03Jake Lucchini (0–2)5v4 · medium · 11 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 17:41Penalty
  • 2nd 19:28Penalty
  • 3rd 8:56Penalty
  • 3rd 8:56Penalty
  • 3rd 9:57Joakim Kemell (0–3)grade A · 10 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 10:50Penalty
  • 3rd 10:50Penalty
  • 3rd 10:50Penalty
  • 3rd 10:50Penalty
  • 3rd 10:50Penalty
  • 3rd 12:22Ondrej Pavel (0–4)4v5 · high · 13 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 13:36Penalty
  • 3rd 13:36Penalty
  • 3rd 13:36Penalty
  • 3rd 13:44Grigori Denisenko (0–5)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 14:55Penalty