AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 18

Grand Rapids Griffins at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Grand Rapids Griffins
1:4
Final
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

GRRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
18%82%
xG
1.93.6
High danger
28
Chances
616
Shots
2332

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal32
6Scoring chances16
2High-danger chances8
1.92Expected goals3.64

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–84–32–21.0–0.9
2nd7–111–80–20.5–1.4
3rd6–131–50–40.4–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR37:53 of the 3rd12:0712:07+0.017 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
3.64
GSAx
-0.36
Drew Commesso
Shots faced
23
Saves
22
Allowed
1
xGA
1.92
GSAx
+0.92

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:02Penalty
  • 1st 7:48Penalty
  • 1st 8:12Penalty
  • 1st 14:25Penalty
  • 1st 14:38Penalty
  • 1st 16:43Penalty
  • 2nd 0:15Penalty
  • 2nd 4:50Gavin Hayes (0–1)medium · 13 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 9:07Zach Sanford (0–2)high · 11 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 12:21Penalty
  • 2nd 14:21Penalty
  • 2nd 14:21Penalty
  • 2nd 17:35Penalty
  • 2nd 17:35Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 7:53Cavan Fitzgerald (0–3)high · rebound · 22 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 3rd 12:13Penalty
  • 3rd 12:31Amadeus Lombardi (1–3)5v4 · low · 58 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 17:43Jalen Luypen (1–4)empty net · low · 44 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa