AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 18

Henderson Silver Knights at Bakersfield Condors

Dignity Health Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Henderson Silver Knights
3:5
Final
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

HSKBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
13%87%
xG
1.83.7
High danger
16
Chances
816
Shots
1939

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal39
8Scoring chances16
1High-danger chances6
1.83Expected goals3.74

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–102–30–10.4–0.7
2nd5–162–31–10.5–1.4
3rd9–134–100–40.8–1.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cameron Whitehead
Shots faced
39
Saves
34
Allowed
5
xGA
3.74
GSAx
-1.26
Collin Delia
Shots faced
19
Saves
16
Allowed
3
xGA
1.83
GSAx
-1.17

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:09Penalty
  • 1st 18:41Penalty
  • 2nd 0:38Jakub Demek (1–0)5v4 · high · backhand · 10 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 2nd 6:50Penalty
  • 2nd 13:47Penalty
  • 2nd 16:22Noah Philp (1–1)grade A · wrist · rebound · 13 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 2nd 17:56Travis Dermott (1–2)low · wrist · 11 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 3rd 1:21Penalty
  • 3rd 1:21Penalty
  • 3rd 4:24Penalty
  • 3rd 4:24Penalty
  • 3rd 4:24Penalty
  • 3rd 6:17Mason Morelli (2–2)4v5 · medium · wrist · 33 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 3rd 6:32Penalty
  • 3rd 6:32Penalty
  • 3rd 7:41Jakub Brabenec (3–2)medium · wrist · 35 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 3rd 9:31Drake Caggiula (3–3)high · wrist · 13 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 3rd 12:27Daniel D’Amato (3–4)high · wrist · 9 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 3rd 13:49Penalty
  • 3rd 14:38Penalty
  • 3rd 15:46Penalty
  • 3rd 19:53Matthew Savoie (3–5)empty net · medium · wrist · 15 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead