AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 18

San Diego Gulls at Ontario Reign

Toyota Arena · Ontario, CA

San Diego Gulls
1:2
Final
Ontario Reign

The sheet

SDONTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
3.13.6
High danger
45
Chances
1413
Shots
2828

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ONT above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% ONT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal28
14Scoring chances13
4High-danger chances5
3.09Expected goals3.61

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–145–62–11.1–1.4
2nd6–113–70–40.5–2.0
3rd13–36–02–01.4–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD212:09 of the 3rd7:515:14+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
3.61
GSAx
+1.61
Carter George
Shots faced
28
Saves
27
Allowed
1
xGA
3.09
GSAx
+2.09

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:12Penalty
  • 1st 6:47Penalty
  • 1st 6:47Penalty
  • 1st 16:23Penalty
  • 1st 19:01Penalty
  • 1st 19:01Penalty
  • 1st 19:59Penalty
  • 2nd 4:12Penalty
  • 2nd 6:58Penalty
  • 2nd 10:21Charles Hudon (0–1)grade A · 44 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 12:18Penalty
  • 2nd 13:29Kaleb Lawrence (0–2)5v4 · high · 21 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 16:14Penalty
  • 2nd 16:14Penalty
  • 2nd 16:14Penalty
  • 2nd 16:29Penalty
  • 2nd 19:08Penalty
  • 3rd 12:54Penalty
  • 3rd 14:19Sam Colangelo (1–2)5v4 · low · 44 ft · beat Carter George