AHLDashboard
Saturday, April 19

Rochester Americans at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Rochester Americans
2:3
Final / OT
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

ROCTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
30%70%
xG
2.12.4
High danger
12
Chances
410
Shots
2632

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal32
4Scoring chances10
1High-danger chances2
2.15Expected goals2.36

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13220101.20.1
2nd71215010.61.0
3rd61515010.31.1
OT0300000.00.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
32
Saves
29
Allowed
3
xGA
2.36
GSAx
-0.64
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.15
GSAx
+0.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:48Lukáš Rousek (1–0)grade A · rebound · 4 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 9:24Konsta Helenius (2–0)low · 34 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 10:25Penalty
  • 1st 16:51Penalty
  • 2nd 1:59Penalty
  • 2nd 4:50Penalty
  • 2nd 4:50Penalty
  • 2nd 4:50Penalty
  • 2nd 4:50Penalty
  • 2nd 4:50Penalty
  • 2nd 8:49Matthew Barbolini (2–1)medium · 21 ft · beat Felix Sandström
  • 2nd 16:00Luke Haymes (2–2)high · 18 ft · beat Felix Sandström
  • 2nd 16:33Penalty
  • OT 3:00Penalty
  • OT 3:00Penalty
  • OT 3:00Penalty
  • OT 3:29Zach Solow (2–3)5v4 · low · 15 ft · beat Felix Sandström