Cleveland Monsters at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Cleveland Monsters

0:3

Final

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

CLEWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

50%50%

xG: 2.32.0
High danger: 11
Chances: 611
Shots: 3219

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

WBS above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal19

6Scoring chances11

1High-danger chances1

2.31Expected goals2.03

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	10–8	0–4	0–0	0.5–0.7
2nd	6–8	1–4	1–0	0.5–0.8
3rd	16–3	5–3	0–1	1.3–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	2	13:17 of the 3rd	6:43	6:43	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Taylor Gauthier

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 32
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.30
GSAx: +2.30

Evan Gardner

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 16
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.03
GSAx: -0.97

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:33Penalty
2nd 13:56Dan Renouf (0–1)medium · 22 ft · beat Evan Gardner
2nd 15:39Penalty
3rd 3:53Penalty
3rd 10:22Penalty
3rd 10:22Penalty
3rd 10:22Penalty
3rd 10:22Penalty
3rd 10:22Penalty
3rd 11:42Penalty
3rd 13:17Avery Hayes (0–2)high · 11 ft · beat Evan Gardner
3rd 13:36Joona Koppanen (0–3)medium · 17 ft · beat Evan Gardner
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 19:05Penalty