AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 19

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
4:3
Final
Hershey Bears

The sheet

LVHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
43%57%
xG
2.02.8
High danger
43
Chances
912
Shots
2033

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal33
9Scoring chances12
4High-danger chances3
2.02Expected goals2.77

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–134–30–10.7–0.9
2nd10–125–64–21.3–1.3
3rd3–80–30–00.1–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HER−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HER116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Parker Gahagen
Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
2.77
GSAx
-0.23
Seth Eisele
Shots faced
20
Saves
16
Allowed
4
xGA
2.03
GSAx
-1.97

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:30Sawyer Boulton (1–0)medium · 16 ft · beat Seth Eisele
  • 1st 12:25Ivan Miroshnichenko (1–1)low · 24 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 1st 14:23Penalty
  • 1st 14:47Alex Bump (2–1)5v4 · medium · 21 ft · beat Seth Eisele
  • 1st 15:12Penalty
  • 1st 18:11Penalty
  • 2nd 3:16Penalty
  • 2nd 6:41Luke Philp (2–2)medium · 22 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 7:11Penalty
  • 2nd 8:48Brendan Furry (3–2)4v5 · high · 7 ft · beat Seth Eisele
  • 2nd 11:57Ivan Miroshnichenko (3–3)high · 15 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 15:12Penalty
  • 2nd 17:06Ben Gleason (4–3)5v4 · medium · 31 ft · beat Seth Eisele
  • 2nd 18:40Penalty
  • 3rd 4:58Penalty
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty
  • 3rd 10:51Penalty
  • 3rd 11:14Penalty
  • 3rd 11:14Penalty
  • 3rd 11:14Penalty
  • 3rd 11:14Penalty
  • 3rd 11:14Penalty
  • 3rd 11:14Penalty
  • 3rd 11:14Penalty
  • 3rd 16:40Penalty
  • 3rd 17:06Penalty
  • 3rd 19:54Penalty
  • 3rd 19:54Penalty
  • 3rd 19:54Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty