AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 19

Laval Rocket at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Laval Rocket
5:4
Final / OT
Belleville Senators

The sheet

LAVBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
56%44%
xG
3.23.3
High danger
43
Chances
1114
Shots
3231

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal31
11Scoring chances14
4High-danger chances3
3.16Expected goals3.32

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st16–96–31–01.5–0.9
2nd11–124–82–21.2–1.5
3rd2–91–31–10.2–0.9
OT3–10–00–00.2–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL212:09 of the 3rd7:517:00+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Malcolm Subban
Shots faced
32
Saves
27
Allowed
5
xGA
3.16
GSAx
-1.84
Jacob Fowler
Shots faced
31
Saves
27
Allowed
4
xGA
3.32
GSAx
-0.68

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:48Owen Beck (1–0)low · 41 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 1st 18:44Florian Xhekaj (2–0)low · 33 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 2nd 2:32Penalty
  • 2nd 4:20Luke Tuch (3–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 2nd 5:25Penalty
  • 2nd 8:13Penalty
  • 2nd 9:22Garrett Pilon (3–1)5v4 · medium · 33 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 2nd 10:20Penalty
  • 2nd 11:46Cole Reinhardt (3–2)5v4 · low · 40 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 2nd 14:01Penalty
  • 2nd 19:30Noel Hoefenmayer (4–2)low · 44 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 3rd 6:31Penalty
  • 3rd 10:37Penalty
  • 3rd 18:24Penalty
  • 3rd 18:32Stephen Halliday (4–3)5v4 · medium · 40 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 3rd 19:09Stephen Halliday (4–4)high · 42 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • OT 3:08Florian Xhekaj (5–4)low · 34 ft · beat Malcolm Subban