San Jose Barracuda at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

San Jose Barracuda

0:4

Final

Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

SJCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

68%32%

xG: 3.42.4
High danger: 74
Chances: 1210
Shots: 2819

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CGY above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal19

12Scoring chances10

7High-danger chances4

3.39Expected goals2.35

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–8	4–4	3–1	1.0–0.9
2nd	12–4	6–3	4–1	1.8–0.6
3rd	7–7	2–3	0–2	0.6–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SJ	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Waltteri Ignatjew

Shots faced: 28
Saves: 28
Allowed: 0
xGA: 3.39
GSAx: +3.39

Gabriel Carriere

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 15
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.35
GSAx: -1.65

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 7:11Penalty
1st 9:40Penalty
1st 9:40Penalty
1st 9:50Penalty
1st 13:16Carter King (0–1)high · wrist · 6 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
1st 19:45Penalty
2nd 6:40Penalty
2nd 6:40Penalty
2nd 10:29Clark Bishop (0–2)medium · wrist · 24 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
2nd 10:44Penalty
2nd 13:29Penalty
2nd 14:09Lucas Ciona (0–3)5v4 · high · tip · 6 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
2nd 17:41Penalty
2nd 17:41Penalty
3rd 2:57Penalty
3rd 3:57Penalty
3rd 4:25Dryden Hunt (0–4)5v4 · high · wrist · 17 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere