AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, April 22

Calgary Wranglers at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Calgary Wranglers
3:4
Final / OT
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

CGYCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
45%55%
xG
3.13.4
High danger
32
Chances
710
Shots
3950

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal50
7Scoring chances10
3High-danger chances2
3.09Expected goals3.38

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–102–50–10.6–1.0
2nd6–150–40–10.3–1.2
3rd11–54–12–01.7–0.3
OT7–81–01–00.4–0.4
SO2–110–00–00.1–0.4
3OT2–10–00–00.1–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−3−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY30:00 of the 3rd20:0012:32+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Waltteri Ignatjew
Shots faced
50
Saves
46
Allowed
4
xGA
3.38
GSAx
-0.62
Nikke Kokko
Shots faced
39
Saves
36
Allowed
3
xGA
3.09
GSAx
+0.09

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:39John Hayden (0–1)medium · 25 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • 1st 7:37Brandon Biro (0–2)medium · 29 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • 1st 13:14Penalty
  • 1st 15:54Penalty
  • 1st 18:46Penalty
  • 2nd 3:08Penalty
  • 2nd 7:54Penalty
  • 2nd 9:02Penalty
  • 2nd 11:22Penalty
  • 2nd 14:05Penalty
  • 2nd 14:05Penalty
  • 2nd 14:05Mitchell Stephens (0–3)medium · 22 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • 2nd 19:34Penalty
  • 3rd 3:12Penalty
  • 3rd 5:41Penalty
  • 3rd 5:41Penalty
  • 3rd 6:51Dryden Hunt (1–3)low · 54 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 3rd 14:53Lucas Ciona (2–3)low · rebound · 32 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 3rd 19:53Penalty
  • 3rd 19:53Penalty
  • 3rd 19:53Penalty
  • 3rd 19:53Penalty
  • 3rd 19:53Rory Kerins (3–3)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 3OT 2:00Mitchell Stephens (3–4)low · 12 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • OT 11:04Penalty