AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, April 24

San Jose Barracuda at Ontario Reign

Crypto.com Arena · Los Angeles, CA

San Jose Barracuda
2:0
Final
Ontario Reign

The sheet

SJONTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
91%9%
xG
2.51.1
High danger
40
Chances
84
Shots
2517

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ONT above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% ONT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal17
8Scoring chances4
4High-danger chances0
2.48Expected goals1.07

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–83–13–01.0–0.4
2nd7–81–21–00.5–0.6
3rd9–14–10–00.9–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ONT−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ONT212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Pheonix Copley
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
2.48
GSAx
+0.48
Yaroslav Askarov
Shots faced
17
Saves
17
Allowed
0
xGA
1.07
GSAx
+1.07

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:40Penalty
  • 1st 8:56Penalty
  • 1st 11:59Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 8:01Penalty
  • 2nd 9:10Penalty
  • 3rd 0:21Penalty
  • 3rd 1:35Penalty
  • 3rd 7:20Pavol Regenda (1–0)medium · 15 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 3rd 8:17Penalty
  • 3rd 8:39Filip Bystedt (2–0)5v4 · medium · 21 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 3rd 12:59Penalty
  • 3rd 17:42Penalty