AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, April 24

Tucson Roadrunners at Abbotsford Canucks

Abbotsford Centre · Abbotsford, BC

Tucson Roadrunners
4:1
Final
Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

TUCABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
43%57%
xG
3.03.6
High danger
75
Chances
1214
Shots
3239

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ABB above the lineTUC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal39
12Scoring chances14
7High-danger chances5
3.03Expected goals3.61

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–172–61–20.6–1.4
2nd10–144–52–31.0–1.6
3rd12–86–34–01.5–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB30:00 of the 3rd20:0010:45+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jaxson Stauber
Shots faced
39
Saves
38
Allowed
1
xGA
3.61
GSAx
+2.61
Artūrs Šilovs
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
3.03
GSAx
-0.97

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:07Penalty
  • 1st 12:30Ben McCartney (1–0)medium · 25 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 1st 16:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 3:58Andrew Agozzino (2–0)low · 41 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 2nd 5:22Penalty
  • 2nd 10:49Penalty
  • 2nd 15:52Penalty
  • 2nd 19:41Kailer Yamamoto (3–0)high · 6 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 2:54Linus Karlsson (3–1)medium · 6 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 3rd 8:53Penalty
  • 3rd 18:19Ben McCartney (4–1)empty net · high · 3 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs