AHLDashboard
Friday, April 25

Providence Bruins at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Providence Bruins
1:0
Final / OT
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

PROSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
2.41.8
High danger
24
Chances
76
Shots
2524

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal24
7Scoring chances6
2High-danger chances4
2.40Expected goals1.77

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13741111.20.3
2nd51104020.21.1
3rd4621010.40.4
OT3010100.60.0

Away–home, in that order.

In goal

Shots faced
25
Saves
24
Allowed
1
xGA
2.40
GSAx
+1.40
Shots faced
24
Saves
24
Allowed
0
xGA
1.77
GSAx
+1.77

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 15:54Penalty
  • 2nd 9:14Penalty
  • 2nd 14:25Penalty
  • 2nd 14:25Penalty
  • 3rd 1:05Penalty
  • 3rd 3:55Penalty
  • 3rd 8:25Penalty
  • 3rd 12:03Penalty
  • OT 1:14Vinni Lettieri (1–0)grade A · 10 ft · beat Colten Ellis