AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 25

Chicago Wolves at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Chicago Wolves
0:5
Final
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

CHIRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
27%73%
xG
2.52.6
High danger
06
Chances
109
Shots
3425

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal25
10Scoring chances9
0High-danger chances6
2.54Expected goals2.63

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–101–40–10.6–1.0
2nd14–104–40–41.0–1.2
3rd11–55–10–11.0–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Drew Commesso
Shots faced
34
Saves
34
Allowed
0
xGA
2.54
GSAx
+2.54
Spencer Martin
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
2.63
GSAx
-2.37

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:56Penalty
  • 1st 1:56Penalty
  • 1st 1:56Joey Anderson (0–1)medium · 13 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 1st 5:44Kevin Korchinski (0–2)medium · 16 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 1st 6:49Penalty
  • 1st 11:32Penalty
  • 1st 13:10Penalty
  • 2nd 3:55Gerry Mayhew (0–3)high · 9 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 9:41Penalty
  • 2nd 14:46Penalty
  • 3rd 4:30Penalty
  • 3rd 6:37Gerry Mayhew (0–4)low · 17 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 11:12Penalty
  • 3rd 17:35Penalty
  • 3rd 17:35Penalty
  • 3rd 17:35Penalty
  • 3rd 17:35Aku Räty (0–5)empty net · low · 132 ft · beat Spencer Martin