AHLDashboard
Saturday, April 26

Cleveland Monsters at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Cleveland Monsters
4:3
Final / OT
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

CLETORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
45%55%
xG
3.84.6
High danger
44
Chances
1418
Shots
5042

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

50Shots on goal42
14Scoring chances18
4High-danger chances4
3.79Expected goals4.58

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st81046220.81.0
2nd101065001.11.1
3rd8734220.61.3
OT121112000.71.0
SO12401000.60.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
50
Saves
46
Allowed
4
xGA
3.79
GSAx
-0.21
Shots faced
42
Saves
39
Allowed
3
xGA
4.58
GSAx
+1.58

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 14:35Zach Solow (0–1)medium · 18 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 4:03Zach Solow (0–2)medium · 24 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 7:47Hunter McKown (1–2)medium · 26 ft · beat Matt Murray
  • 2nd 11:12Penalty
  • 2nd 14:58Rocco Grimaldi (2–2)medium · 26 ft · beat Matt Murray
  • 2nd 17:16Denton Mateychuk (3–2)low · wrist · 30 ft · beat Matt Murray
  • 2nd 17:59Penalty
  • 2nd 17:59Penalty
  • 2nd 17:59Penalty
  • 3rd 4:50Robert Mastrosimone (3–3)grade A · 44 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 7:20Penalty
  • SO 19:05James Malatesta (4–3)low · 23 ft · beat Matt Murray