AHLDashboard
Sunday, April 27

Syracuse Crunch at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Syracuse Crunch
0:4
Final
Rochester Americans

The sheet

SYRROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
76%24%
xG
2.31.3
High danger
21
Chances
62
Shots
3522

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal22
6Scoring chances2
2High-danger chances1
2.27Expected goals1.31

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6820000.40.4
2nd15610100.80.3
3rd14832111.00.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SYR−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SYR35:53 of the 3rd14:0714:07+0.020 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
35
Allowed
0
xGA
2.27
GSAx
+2.27
Shots faced
22
Saves
18
Allowed
4
xGA
1.32
GSAx
-2.68

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:37Konsta Helenius (0–1)low · 32 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 9:07Penalty
  • 2nd 16:38Penalty
  • 2nd 16:38Penalty
  • 2nd 17:33Penalty
  • 2nd 19:42Penalty
  • 2nd 19:46Jiří Kulich (0–2)5v4 · low · 49 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 3:26Penalty
  • 3rd 5:53Kale Clague (0–3)low · 61 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 9:56Penalty
  • 3rd 15:10Isak Rosén (0–4)empty net · low · 135 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty