AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, May 1

Rockford IceHogs at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Rockford IceHogs
3:2
Final / OT
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

RFDMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
78%22%
xG
2.11.6
High danger
20
Chances
65
Shots
2830

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineRFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal30
6Scoring chances5
2High-danger chances0
2.15Expected goals1.65

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–62–01–00.7–0.2
2nd5–141–40–00.4–1.1
3rd11–102–10–00.6–0.3
OT1–01–01–00.5–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Drew Commesso
Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
1.65
GSAx
-0.35
Matthew Murray
Shots faced
28
Saves
25
Allowed
3
xGA
2.15
GSAx
-0.85

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:51Penalty
  • 1st 7:30Penalty
  • 1st 7:30Penalty
  • 2nd 0:30Cal O’Reilly (0–1)medium · 10 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 0:45Fedor Svechkov (0–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 1:52Penalty
  • 2nd 1:52Penalty
  • 2nd 19:32Penalty
  • 2nd 19:32Penalty
  • 2nd 19:32Penalty
  • 3rd 5:12Penalty
  • 3rd 11:48Paul Ludwinski (1–2)medium · 12 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 16:33Gerry Mayhew (2–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • OT 0:12Colton Dach (3–2)grade A · 14 ft · beat Matthew Murray