Laval Rocket at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Laval Rocket

4:0

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

LAVCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

77%23%

xG: 3.11.8
High danger: 83
Chances: 106
Shots: 2920

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal20

10Scoring chances6

8High-danger chances3

3.10Expected goals1.76

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–6	5–0	5–0	1.3–0.3
2nd	9–6	1–2	1–0	0.6–0.5
3rd	9–8	4–4	2–3	1.2–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	3	7:16 of the 3rd	12:44	12:44	+0.018 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 25
Allowed: 4
xGA: 3.10
GSAx: -0.90

Jacob Fowler

Shots faced: 20
Saves: 20
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.76
GSAx: +1.76

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:22Jared Davidson (1–0)low · rebound · 38 ft · beat Jet Greaves
1st 10:21Penalty
1st 20:00Penalty
2nd 3:12Lucas Condotta (2–0)low · 24 ft · beat Jet Greaves
2nd 7:14Penalty
2nd 14:36Penalty
2nd 17:16Penalty
3rd 3:00Penalty
3rd 3:00Penalty
3rd 3:00Penalty
3rd 3:00Penalty
3rd 7:16Alex Barré-Boulet (3–0)medium · 7 ft · beat Jet Greaves
3rd 14:03Penalty
3rd 14:03Penalty
3rd 14:32Gustav Lindström (4–0)grade A · rebound · 18 ft · beat Jet Greaves
3rd 17:57Penalty