AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, May 2

Colorado Eagles at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Colorado Eagles
6:3
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

COLSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
2.21.9
High danger
30
Chances
75
Shots
2428

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal28
7Scoring chances5
3High-danger chances0
2.23Expected goals1.94

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–123–10–00.6–0.7
2nd11–73–33–01.2–0.7
3rd7–91–10–00.5–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Trent Miner
Shots faced
28
Saves
25
Allowed
3
xGA
1.94
GSAx
-1.06
Yaroslav Askarov
Shots faced
24
Saves
18
Allowed
6
xGA
2.23
GSAx
-3.77

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:55Penalty
  • 1st 10:44Penalty
  • 1st 10:44Penalty
  • 1st 16:16Calle Rosén (1–0)low · 19 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 2:02Penalty
  • 2nd 3:02Chris Wagner (2–0)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 5:55Penalty
  • 2nd 7:19Jayson Megna (3–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 22 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 8:25Filip Bystedt (3–1)4v5 · medium · 22 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 11:56Penalty
  • 2nd 17:55John Ludvig (4–1)low · 33 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 19:21Penalty
  • 3rd 13:16Collin Graf (4–2)medium · 13 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 17:41Colin White (4–3)low · 35 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 18:29Jayson Megna (5–3)empty net · low · 45 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 19:30Tye Felhaber (6–3)empty net · medium · 11 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov