Cleveland Monsters at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Cleveland Monsters

3:1

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

CLELAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

30%70%

xG: 2.44.1
High danger: 57
Chances: 1114
Shots: 2537

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal37

11Scoring chances14

5High-danger chances7

2.41Expected goals4.09

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	12–9	5–4	2–1	1.1–0.8
2nd	9–9	3–4	1–2	0.8–1.3
3rd	4–19	3–6	2–4	0.5–1.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LAV	3	11:49 of the 3rd	8:11	8:11	+0.011 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves

Shots faced: 37
Saves: 36
Allowed: 1
xGA: 4.09
GSAx: +3.09

Cayden Primeau

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 22
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.41
GSAx: -0.59

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:30Penalty
1st 0:30Penalty
1st 3:01Penalty
1st 5:50Penalty
1st 5:50Penalty
1st 6:11Penalty
1st 14:08Penalty
1st 14:08Penalty
1st 14:08Penalty
1st 14:08Penalty
1st 17:05Penalty
2nd 6:34Penalty
2nd 18:05Dylan Gambrell (1–0)medium · 31 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
2nd 19:36Penalty
3rd 7:32Dylan Gambrell (2–0)high · snap · 13 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
3rd 11:15Penalty
3rd 11:49Roman Ahcan (3–0)4v5 · high · wrist · 20 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
3rd 13:26Laurent Dauphin (3–1)grade A · wrist · rebound · 8 ft · beat Jet Greaves
3rd 20:00Penalty