Cleveland Monsters at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Cleveland Monsters

1:4

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

CLELAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

7%93%

xG: 1.14.5
High danger: 110
Chances: 217
Shots: 1936

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal36

2Scoring chances17

1High-danger chances10

1.11Expected goals4.50

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	4–13	0–7	0–5	0.2–2.0
2nd	10–12	1–5	0–4	0.6–1.4
3rd	5–11	1–5	1–1	0.4–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves

Shots faced: 36
Saves: 32
Allowed: 4
xGA: 4.50
GSAx: +0.50

Jacob Fowler

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 18
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.11
GSAx: +0.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:22Xavier Simoneau (0–1)grade A · wrist · rebound · 4 ft · beat Jet Greaves
1st 4:49Penalty
1st 9:18Penalty
1st 9:42Laurent Dauphin (0–2)5v4 · medium · tip · 7 ft · beat Jet Greaves
1st 11:46Penalty
1st 12:21Logan Mailloux (0–3)5v4 · low · slap · 46 ft · beat Jet Greaves
1st 18:12Penalty
1st 18:12Penalty
2nd 3:48Penalty
2nd 13:32Penalty
2nd 16:26Penalty
2nd 16:26Penalty
2nd 17:19Luca Del Bel Belluz (1–3)low · wrist · 37 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
3rd 10:59Penalty
3rd 10:59Penalty
3rd 11:06Penalty
3rd 17:10Penalty
3rd 17:10Penalty
3rd 17:27Laurent Dauphin (1–4)5v4 · high · wrist · 10 ft · beat Jet Greaves
3rd 17:40Penalty
3rd 17:40Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty