AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, May 9

Hershey Bears at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Hershey Bears
6:4
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

HERLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
57%43%
xG
4.23.9
High danger
109
Chances
1513
Shots
2732

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal32
15Scoring chances13
10High-danger chances9
4.22Expected goals3.85

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–35–03–01.5–0.1
2nd9–106–44–11.7–0.9
3rd6–194–93–81.1–2.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Clay Stevenson
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
3.85
GSAx
-0.15
Cal Petersen
Shots faced
27
Saves
21
Allowed
6
xGA
4.22
GSAx
-1.78

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:17Penalty
  • 1st 5:46Bogdan Trineyev (1–0)medium · 25 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 9:51Penalty
  • 1st 11:51Chase Priskie (2–0)5v4 · low · 59 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 13:50Penalty
  • 1st 13:50Penalty
  • 1st 14:15Mike Vecchione (3–0)high · 17 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 18:01Penalty
  • 2nd 3:56Zayde Wisdom (3–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 2nd 4:31Rodrigo Abols (3–2)medium · 31 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 2nd 7:46Penalty
  • 2nd 12:45Penalty
  • 2nd 13:18Pierrick Dubé (4–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 16:32Pierrick Dubé (5–2)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 16:53Penalty
  • 2nd 17:28Penalty
  • 2nd 18:42Penalty
  • 3rd 7:46Penalty
  • 3rd 8:09Penalty
  • 3rd 10:00Ivan Miroshnichenko (6–2)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 10:27Penalty
  • 3rd 10:27Penalty
  • 3rd 10:27Penalty
  • 3rd 13:47Oscar Eklind (6–3)medium · 14 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 3rd 15:34Jacob Gaucher (6–4)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 3rd 16:08Penalty
  • 3rd 17:47Penalty
  • 3rd 17:47Penalty
  • 3rd 18:23Penalty
  • 3rd 18:23Penalty
  • 3rd 18:23Penalty
  • 3rd 18:55Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty