AHLDashboard
Sunday, May 11

Rockford IceHogs at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Rockford IceHogs
3:4
Final / OT
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

RFDMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
43%57%
xG
2.42.8
High danger
22
Chances
78
Shots
3034

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineRFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal34
7Scoring chances8
2High-danger chances2
2.38Expected goals2.75

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14511000.80.2
2nd91042000.80.6
3rd71522200.81.0
OT0403020.00.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
34
Saves
30
Allowed
4
xGA
2.75
GSAx
-1.25
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
2.38
GSAx
-0.62

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:23Chase De Leo (0–1)medium · 15 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 1st 10:11Penalty
  • 2nd 4:25Zach Sanford (1–1)medium · 8 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 5:28Penalty
  • 2nd 7:12Zach Sanford (2–1)5v4 · medium · 13 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 12:06Fedor Svechkov (2–2)medium · 7 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 18:54Jesse Ylonen (2–3)low · 47 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 5:10Penalty
  • 3rd 11:09Joey Anderson (3–3)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • OT 0:22Penalty
  • OT 1:38Fedor Svechkov (3–4)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Drew Commesso