Hershey Bears at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Hershey Bears

1:2

Final / OT

Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

HERCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

28%72%

xG: 1.42.5
High danger: 25
Chances: 55
Shots: 1829

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

CLT above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal29

5Scoring chances5

2High-danger chances5

1.40Expected goals2.50

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	6–7	2–3	0–3	0.5–1.0
2nd	6–6	1–1	0–1	0.3–0.5
3rd	5–13	2–1	2–1	0.5–0.8
OT	1–3	0–0	0–0	0.0–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Hunter Shepard

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 27
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.50
GSAx: +0.50

Kaapo Kähkönen

Shots faced: 18
Saves: 17
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.40
GSAx: +0.40

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:33Luke Philp (1–0)low · 27 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
1st 7:45Penalty
1st 14:04Penalty
2nd 8:59Penalty
2nd 17:50Penalty
3rd 4:16Rasmus Asplund (1–1)low · 45 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
3rd 12:54Penalty
OT 3:09Rasmus Asplund (1–2)low · rebound · 11 ft · beat Hunter Shepard