AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, May 18

Milwaukee Admirals at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Milwaukee Admirals
6:4
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

MILTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
68%32%
xG
2.92.1
High danger
42
Chances
76
Shots
2920

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal20
7Scoring chances6
4High-danger chances2
2.94Expected goals2.14

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–33–01–01.0–0.2
2nd12–91–51–21.2–1.4
3rd6–83–12–00.7–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX312:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.011 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Magnus Hellberg
Shots faced
29
Saves
23
Allowed
6
xGA
2.94
GSAx
-3.06
Matthew Murray
Shots faced
20
Saves
16
Allowed
4
xGA
2.14
GSAx
-1.86

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:27Penalty
  • 1st 18:30Jesse Ylonen (1–0)high · rebound · 66 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 1st 18:52Penalty
  • 1st 19:52Penalty
  • 1st 19:52Penalty
  • 2nd 1:28Penalty
  • 2nd 5:02Penalty
  • 2nd 5:33Kole Lind (1–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 7:55Justin Hryckowian (1–2)low · 19 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 9:25Penalty
  • 2nd 14:38Joakim Kemell (2–2)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 18:33Penalty
  • 3rd 3:33Chase De Leo (3–2)low · 35 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 5:24Jesse Ylonen (4–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 6:25Penalty
  • 3rd 12:08Jake Lucchini (5–2)high · 10 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 13:12Ozzy Wiesblatt (6–2)high · 13 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 13:30Kole Lind (6–3)medium · 32 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 14:46Kole Lind (6–4)low · 22 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 16:48Penalty