Colorado Eagles at Abbotsford Canucks

Abbotsford Centre · Abbotsford, BC

Colorado Eagles

5:3

Final

Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

COLABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

32%68%

xG: 1.92.6
High danger: 23
Chances: 511
Shots: 2130

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

ABB above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal30

5Scoring chances11

2High-danger chances3

1.85Expected goals2.59

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	6–8	1–2	0–1	0.4–0.8
2nd	7–4	3–0	1–0	0.9–0.1
3rd	8–18	1–9	1–2	0.6–1.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
ABB	3	5:23 of the 3rd	14:37	14:37	+0.020 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Trent Miner

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 27
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.59
GSAx: -0.41

Artūrs Šilovs

Shots faced: 21
Saves: 16
Allowed: 5
xGA: 1.85
GSAx: -3.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:57Jake Wise (1–0)medium · 13 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
1st 15:53Jonathan Lekkerimäki (1–1)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Trent Miner
2nd 3:39Penalty
2nd 6:04Penalty
2nd 13:30Wyatt Aamodt (2–1)low · 37 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
2nd 13:49Penalty
2nd 18:06Chris Wagner (3–1)grade A · 8 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
2nd 20:00Penalty
2nd 20:00Penalty
2nd 20:00Penalty
2nd 20:00Penalty
3rd 3:12Penalty
3rd 5:23Ivan Ivan (4–1)low · rebound · 30 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
3rd 7:42Penalty
3rd 12:23Penalty
3rd 12:23Penalty
3rd 12:23Penalty
3rd 12:23Penalty
3rd 12:23Chase Wouters (4–2)medium · 8 ft · beat Trent Miner
3rd 16:56Jayson Megna (5–2)empty net · low · 44 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
3rd 17:17Penalty
3rd 18:51Linus Karlsson (5–3)5v4 · medium · 24 ft · beat Trent Miner