AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, May 21

Charlotte Checkers at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Charlotte Checkers
6:3
Final
Hershey Bears

The sheet

CLTHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
60%40%
xG
3.42.4
High danger
22
Chances
139
Shots
3826

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal26
13Scoring chances9
2High-danger chances2
3.44Expected goals2.44

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–143–30–00.8–1.1
2nd20–27–10–01.9–0.2
3rd7–103–52–20.8–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HER−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HER34:53 of the 3rd15:078:52+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
38
Saves
32
Allowed
6
xGA
3.45
GSAx
-2.55
Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
2.44
GSAx
-0.56

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:27Penalty
  • 1st 9:12Penalty
  • 1st 12:15Penalty
  • 1st 19:02Bogdan Trineyev (0–1)medium · 159 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 2:05Mike Vecchione (0–2)medium · 159 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 3:50Brett Chorske (1–2)low · 17 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 5:12Penalty
  • 2nd 6:23Penalty
  • 2nd 6:42Michael Benning (2–2)medium · 36 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 11:14John Leonard (3–2)low · 29 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 13:38Penalty
  • 2nd 13:38Penalty
  • 2nd 14:23Penalty
  • 2nd 15:42Penalty
  • 3rd 2:27Will Lockwood (4–2)low · 36 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 3rd 4:53Kyle Criscuolo (5–2)high · 5 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 3rd 5:54Ivan Miroshnichenko (5–3)medium · 32 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 18:20Rasmus Asplund (6–3)empty net · medium · 18 ft · beat Hunter Shepard