AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, May 21

Texas Stars at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Texas Stars
6:1
Final
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

TEXMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
2.32.2
High danger
21
Chances
54
Shots
3531

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal31
5Scoring chances4
2High-danger chances1
2.35Expected goals2.20

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–80–00–00.5–0.3
2nd11–130–10–00.6–0.9
3rd12–105–32–11.2–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MIL−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MIL37:50 of the 3rd12:1012:10+0.017 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Matthew Murray
Shots faced
33
Saves
28
Allowed
5
xGA
2.04
GSAx
-2.96
Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
31
Saves
30
Allowed
1
xGA
2.20
GSAx
+1.20
Magnus Chrona
Shots faced
2
Saves
1
Allowed
1
xGA
0.31
GSAx
-0.69

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:45Kole Lind (1–0)low · 134 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 2:58Penalty
  • 2nd 2:58Penalty
  • 2nd 8:29Penalty
  • 2nd 13:18Curtis McKenzie (2–0)low · 27 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 18:18Penalty
  • 3rd 6:04Spencer Stastney (2–1)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 7:15Kyle Capobianco (3–1)low · 50 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 7:50Jack Becker (4–1)high · 11 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 9:32Cameron Hughes (5–1)medium · 26 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 13:20Penalty
  • 3rd 17:23Penalty
  • 3rd 17:23Penalty
  • 3rd 17:23Penalty
  • 3rd 17:53Penalty
  • 3rd 17:53Justin Hryckowian (6–1)5v4 · high · 29 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 18:41Penalty