AHLDashboard
Friday, May 23

Rochester Americans at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Rochester Americans
5:1
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

ROCLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
2.11.7
High danger
40
Chances
75
Shots
2123

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal23
7Scoring chances5
4High-danger chances0
2.12Expected goals1.70

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7721100.70.4
2nd71032200.90.8
3rd7622100.60.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
23
Saves
22
Allowed
1
xGA
1.70
GSAx
+0.70
Shots faced
14
Saves
10
Allowed
4
xGA
1.54
GSAx
-2.46
Shots faced
7
Saves
6
Allowed
1
xGA
0.58
GSAx
-0.42

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:54Penalty
  • 1st 8:51Josh Dunne (1–0)5v4 · medium · snap · 28 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 1st 15:07Tyson Kozak (2–0)high · 11 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 1st 19:46Penalty
  • 1st 19:46Penalty
  • 1st 19:46Penalty
  • 1st 19:46Penalty
  • 2nd 0:43Isak Rosén (3–0)5v4 · high · snap · 15 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 2nd 7:45Joshua Roy (3–1)medium · 19 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 9:22Josh Dunne (4–1)low · 62 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 3rd 5:22Penalty
  • 3rd 10:07Penalty
  • 3rd 12:48Penalty
  • 3rd 13:59Konsta Helenius (5–1)4v5 · high · 22 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 15:17Penalty
  • 3rd 15:17Penalty
  • 3rd 15:17Penalty
  • 3rd 15:17Penalty
  • 3rd 15:17Penalty
  • 3rd 15:17Penalty
  • 3rd 15:17Penalty
  • 3rd 15:17Penalty
  • 3rd 18:17Penalty
  • 3rd 18:17Penalty
  • 3rd 18:17Penalty
  • 3rd 18:21Penalty
  • 3rd 18:40Penalty
  • 3rd 18:40Penalty
  • 3rd 18:40Penalty
  • 3rd 18:40Penalty
  • 3rd 18:40Penalty