Abbotsford Canucks at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Abbotsford Canucks

1:3

Final

Colorado Eagles

The sheet

ABBCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

36%64%

xG: 2.33.3
High danger: 44
Chances: 1013
Shots: 2530

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

COL above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal30

10Scoring chances13

4High-danger chances4

2.29Expected goals3.27

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	6–8	2–2	0–1	0.5–0.5
2nd	7–9	2–2	1–0	0.5–0.6
3rd	12–13	6–9	3–3	1.4–2.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
ABB	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artūrs Šilovs

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 27
Allowed: 3
xGA: 3.27
GSAx: +0.27

Trent Miner

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 24
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.29
GSAx: +1.29

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:36Jean-Luc Foudy (0–1)medium · 10 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
2nd 5:29Penalty
2nd 11:14Jayson Megna (0–2)medium · 30 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
2nd 11:48Penalty
2nd 17:58Penalty
2nd 19:25Tye Felhaber (0–3)5v4 · low · 43 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
2nd 20:00Penalty
2nd 20:00Penalty
2nd 20:00Penalty
3rd 5:52Penalty
3rd 5:52Penalty
3rd 7:29Penalty
3rd 9:56Penalty
3rd 12:47Penalty
3rd 12:47Penalty
3rd 14:04Penalty
3rd 14:04Nate Smith (1–3)medium · 13 ft · beat Trent Miner
3rd 19:21Penalty
3rd 19:21Penalty
3rd 19:21Penalty
3rd 19:21Penalty