AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, May 28

Charlotte Checkers at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Charlotte Checkers
5:1
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

CLTLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
32%68%
xG
1.72.6
High danger
33
Chances
79
Shots
2031

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal31
7Scoring chances9
3High-danger chances3
1.74Expected goals2.55

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–94–12–10.8–0.4
2nd6–132–31–20.5–1.2
3rd6–91–50–00.4–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV30:31 of the 3rd19:2919:29+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
31
Saves
30
Allowed
1
xGA
2.55
GSAx
+1.55
Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
20
Saves
15
Allowed
5
xGA
1.74
GSAx
-3.26

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:44Sandis Vilmanis (1–0)high · wrist · 22 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 9:45Justin Sourdif (2–0)low · wrist · 32 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 10:52Penalty
  • 1st 16:55Penalty
  • 2nd 1:55Oliver Okuliar (3–0)medium · snap · 14 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 5:47Goal (3–1)low · snap · 27 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 9:12Penalty
  • 2nd 18:53Penalty
  • 3rd 0:31John Leonard (4–1)4v5 · low · wrist · 36 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 2:55Penalty
  • 3rd 8:06Penalty
  • 3rd 11:05Penalty
  • 3rd 11:05Penalty
  • 3rd 11:05Penalty
  • 3rd 11:56Penalty
  • 3rd 16:50Jesse Puljujärvi (5–1)empty net · low · wrist · 22 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 18:26Penalty
  • 3rd 18:26Penalty
  • 3rd 19:19Penalty