Laval Rocket at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Laval Rocket

1:5

Final

Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

LAVCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

24%76%

xG: 1.93.8
High danger: 38
Chances: 613
Shots: 2329

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLT above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal29

6Scoring chances13

3High-danger chances8

1.85Expected goals3.76

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–9	1–4	1–2	0.4–1.1
2nd	9–14	4–6	2–4	1.0–2.0
3rd	7–6	1–3	0–2	0.4–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LAV	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kaapo Kähkönen

Shots faced: 23
Saves: 22
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.85
GSAx: +0.85

Cayden Primeau

Shots faced: 16
Saves: 12
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.36
GSAx: -1.64

Jacob Fowler

Shots faced: 13
Saves: 12
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.39
GSAx: +0.39

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 9:16Riley Bezeau (0–1)high · 13 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
1st 14:18Penalty
1st 14:57Penalty
2nd 0:53John Leonard (0–2)grade A · 11 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
2nd 2:01Riley Bezeau (0–3)low · 11 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
2nd 5:14Will Lockwood (0–4)low · 44 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
2nd 7:00Penalty
2nd 8:49Jared Davidson (1–4)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
2nd 15:49Sandis Vilmanis (1–5)low · 38 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
2nd 18:21Penalty
3rd 4:57Penalty
3rd 4:57Penalty
3rd 16:40Penalty
3rd 16:40Penalty
3rd 16:40Penalty
3rd 16:40Penalty