Abbotsford Canucks at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Abbotsford Canucks

2:5

Final

Texas Stars

The sheet

ABBTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

16%84%

xG: 2.13.9
High danger: 15
Chances: 818
Shots: 2436

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

TEX above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal36

8Scoring chances18

1High-danger chances5

2.12Expected goals3.89

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–18	3–9	0–1	0.6–1.9
2nd	7–7	1–3	0–1	0.4–0.8
3rd	10–11	4–6	1–3	1.0–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
ABB	3	5:25 of the 3rd	14:35	14:35	+0.020 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artūrs Šilovs

Shots faced: 36
Saves: 31
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.89
GSAx: -1.11

Rémi Poirier

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 22
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.12
GSAx: +0.12

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 6:48Penalty
1st 7:41Christian Wolanin (1–0)5v4 · low · rebound · 39 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
1st 8:09Penalty
1st 9:53Kole Lind (1–1)5v4 · medium · 39 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
1st 14:08Penalty
1st 16:40Penalty
1st 17:07Matěj Blümel (1–2)5v4 · medium · 31 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
1st 17:57Penalty
1st 18:39Matěj Blümel (1–3)4v5 · low · 26 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
1st 19:38Linus Karlsson (2–3)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
2nd 11:00Antonio Stranges (2–4)high · 13 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
3rd 0:56Penalty
3rd 5:06Penalty
3rd 5:06Penalty
3rd 5:06Penalty
3rd 5:25Michael Karow (2–5)4v5 · medium · 43 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
3rd 7:21Penalty
3rd 15:19Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty