Laval Rocket at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Laval Rocket

2:3

Final

Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

LAVCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

73%27%

xG: 2.31.7
High danger: 53
Chances: 84
Shots: 2526

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLT above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal26

8Scoring chances4

5High-danger chances3

2.35Expected goals1.65

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–7	4–1	2–1	0.8–0.4
2nd	11–11	3–2	2–2	1.1–0.8
3rd	6–8	1–1	1–0	0.4–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LAV	1	17:56 of the 3rd	2:04	2:04	+0.047 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jacob Fowler

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 23
Allowed: 3
xGA: 1.65
GSAx: -1.35

Kaapo Kähkönen

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 23
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.35
GSAx: +0.35

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 12:20Penalty
1st 19:14Joshua Roy (1–0)high · 10 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
1st 19:41Penalty
2nd 2:58Owen Beck (2–0)high · rebound · 27 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
2nd 4:38Justin Sourdif (2–1)high · 21 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
2nd 6:40Penalty
2nd 9:13MacKenzie Entwistle (2–2)4v5 · high · 13 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
2nd 14:48Penalty
2nd 14:48Penalty
3rd 4:59Penalty
3rd 17:56Jesse Puljujärvi (2–3)low · 31 ft · beat Jacob Fowler