AHLDashboard
Wednesday, June 4

Abbotsford Canucks at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Abbotsford Canucks
5:4
Final / OT
Texas Stars

The sheet

ABBTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
32%68%
xG
2.73.6
High danger
37
Chances
1014
Shots
3431

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal31
10Scoring chances14
3High-danger chances7
2.75Expected goals3.62

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st41234110.51.1
2nd71015140.61.5
3rd6432010.60.6
OT13533110.80.5
SO4000000.20.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX116:56 of the 3rd3:042:45+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
31
Saves
27
Allowed
4
xGA
3.62
GSAx
-0.38
Shots faced
23
Saves
22
Allowed
1
xGA
1.64
GSAx
+0.64
Shots faced
11
Saves
7
Allowed
4
xGA
1.11
GSAx
-2.89

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:03Penalty
  • 1st 4:18Matěj Blümel (0–1)5v4 · medium · 32 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 1st 5:42Penalty
  • 1st 8:56Linus Karlsson (1–1)medium · 16 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 11:46Penalty
  • 1st 11:46Penalty
  • 1st 13:28Penalty
  • 1st 15:33Tristen Nielsen (2–1)medium · rebound · 35 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 3:17Penalty
  • 2nd 7:51Jack Becker (2–2)grade A · rebound · 27 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 2nd 9:28Cameron Hughes (2–3)medium · 9 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 2nd 14:57Victor Mancini (3–3)low · 28 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 16:55Tristen Nielsen (4–3)low · 16 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 17:27Penalty
  • 2nd 17:27Penalty
  • 3rd 13:22Penalty
  • 3rd 13:22Penalty
  • 3rd 19:41Justin Hryckowian (4–4)grade A · 21 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • SO 3:21Danila Klimovich (5–4)low · 10 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • OT 20:00Penalty